Track whether the founders are selling their shares and are just awaiting a big cash out once they go through with the IPO. That should give you a good indication of what insider people "truly" think about the valuation of their own company. Remember they are the ones that receive daily reports (advertising costs - is google monkeying around with their cost/acquisition; is the US market (measure by the cities they are already in) truly declining and all they can do is mask it through adding additional cities thus making it seem it can remain a viable business? (fill in the blanks here where you could add additional crucial data that is only available to a select few).
This article sums it up... A tiger never changes his stripes or does he? Not only did they report a loss, but whatever happened to the 1. (something) billion dollars in funding? That wasn't enough to scale in addition to profits? If you are truly considering investing in this company read the blog I found and ask yourself whether that could be you in a few years after buying groupon shares.
I tried posting this article also on TechCrunch coming to find out that TechCrunch actually censors articles and did not post it... These people have way too much influence to forbid "freedom of speech" and also are big contributors to Chicago politics (they consider themselves UNTOUCHABLE, since they know they bought the politicians, too)...
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